First League·
Regular Season - 9·09/22/2025·05:30 PM
Botev Vratsa
Botev Vratsa
LWWDD
1-1
Finished
HT0-0
CSKA Sofia
CSKA Sofia
LWDLD
📍 Stadion Hristo Botev, Vratsa
Season statsFirst League
Vratsa8matchesSofia8matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in First League.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
63%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

52%
1466
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1543
61%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

53%
65%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

50%
1.44
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.16

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
88
1.25
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

0.88
25%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

13%
50%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

50%
25%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

38%
50%
Clean Sheet31%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

13%
50%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

50%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
88
0.75
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

0.88
50%
Scored > 0.550%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

50%
50%
Over 1.550%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

50%
13%
Over 2.519%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

25%
13%
Over 3.519%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

25%
25%
BTTS38%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

50%
0%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

13%
0%
Scored Both Halves13%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

25%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
88
0.75
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.00
50%
Clean Sheet31%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

13%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
88
1.07
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.50
1.12
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

0.96
-0.05
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.54
-0.16
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.06
0.24
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.08

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
88
-0.28
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.37

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
88
25%2/8
Leading at HT25%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

25%2/8
75%6/8
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

50%4/8
0%0/8
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

25%2/8
50%4/8
HT/FT Same Outcome50%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

50%4/8
50%1/2
Led at HT → Won50%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

50%1/2
0/0
Trailed at HT → Recovered

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

50%1/2

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 8/88/888
29%
0-15'36%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

43%
14%
16-30'7%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

0%
14%
31-45'14%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

14%
29%
46-60'21%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

14%
0%
61-75'0%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

0%
14%
76-90+'21%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

29%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 8/88/888
83%5/6
Scored First63%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

43%3/7
17%1/6
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

57%4/7
40%2/5
Win when Scoring First37%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

33%1/3
0%0/1
Win when Conceding First0%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

0%0/4
43'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

7'
71'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

61'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 8/88/888
13%1/8
Scored after 75'13%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

13%1/8
25%2/8
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

38%3/8
67%2/3
Lead Saved after 75'83%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

100%1/1
33%1/3
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

0%0/1
0%0/8
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/8

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 8/88/888
71%5/7
Open-Play Share79%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

86%6/7
14%1/7
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

14%1/7
14%1/7
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/7
0%0/5
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

0%0/8
0%0/5
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/8

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
88
-7.60
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

4.21

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 8/88/888
100%8/8
Match Cards > 3.5100%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

100%7/7
7/8
75%6/8
Match Cards > 4.566%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

57%4/7
7/8
68%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

85%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeVratsa at home · Sofia on the road
34
1.33
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

0.50
33%1/3
Win Rate17%

Share of sampled matches won.

0%0/4
33%1/3
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

50%2/4
0.33
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

0.75
0.33
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.25
67%2/3
Clean Sheet33%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

0%0/4
0%0/3
BTTS25%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

50%2/4
0%0/3
Over 2.513%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

25%1/4
1.15
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.50
0.86
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

0.94