Premijer Liga·
Regular Season - 36·05/26/2026·05:00 PM
Zrinjski
Zrinjski
DDDWW
3-0
Finished
HT2-0
Velež
Velež
LWDDL
📍 Stadion pod Bijelim Brijegom, Mostar
Season statsPremijer Liga
Zrinjski35matchesVelež35matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Premijer Liga.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
61%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

57%
1598
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1514
66%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

63%
55%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

51%
1.83
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

3.00

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
3535
1.94
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.46
57%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

40%
23%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

26%
20%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

34%
49%
Clean Sheet43%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

37%
23%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

40%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
3535
1.29
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.03
77%
Scored > 0.569%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

60%
66%
Over 1.557%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

49%
34%
Over 2.534%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

34%
9%
Over 3.513%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

17%
37%
BTTS37%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

37%
17%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

17%
26%
Scored Both Halves23%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

20%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
3535
0.71
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.91
49%
Clean Sheet43%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

37%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
3535
1.51
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.55
0.98
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.16
0.53
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.39
-0.25
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.34

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
3535
31%11/35
Leading at HT27%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

23%8/35
51%18/35
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

49%17/35
17%6/35
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

29%10/35
63%22/35
HT/FT Same Outcome59%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

54%19/35
91%10/11
Led at HT → Won89%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

88%7/8
17%1/6
Trailed at HT → Recovered28%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

40%4/10

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 35/3535/353535
16%
0-15'13%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

10%
9%
16-30'13%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

18%
20%
31-45'16%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

13%
31%
46-60'24%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

18%
13%
61-75'15%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

18%
11%
76-90+'18%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

25%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 35/3535/353535
66%21/32
Scored First56%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

47%14/30
34%11/32
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

53%16/30
81%17/21
Win when Scoring First80%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

79%11/14
27%3/11
Win when Conceding First23%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

19%3/16
35'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

33'
41'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

35'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 35/3535/353535
14%5/35
Scored after 75'20%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

26%9/35
20%7/35
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

9%3/35
85%17/20
Lead Saved after 75'93%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

100%11/11
15%3/20
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

0%0/11
0%0/35
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

3%1/35

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 35/3535/353535
87%39/45
Open-Play Share86%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

85%34/40
9%4/45
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

10%4/40
4%2/45
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

5%2/40
0%0/26
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

0%0/30
12%3/26
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/30

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 35/3535/353535
78%25/32
Match Cards > 3.575%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

71%22/31
32/3531/35
53%17/32
Match Cards > 4.560%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

68%21/31
32/3531/35
63%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

66%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeZrinjski at home · Velež on the road
1717
1.94
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.18
53%9/17
Win Rate41%

Share of sampled matches won.

29%5/17
12%2/17
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

41%7/17
1.18
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.00
0.53
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.18
53%9/17
Clean Sheet32%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

12%2/17
35%6/17
BTTS44%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

53%9/17
24%4/17
Over 2.535%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

47%8/17
1.26
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.03
0.75
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.25