First League·
Regular Season - 6·09/30/2025·10:30
Botev Plovdiv
Botev Plovdiv
LWLLW
0-1
Finished
HT0-0
Levski Sofia
Levski Sofia
LDWWL
📍 Stadion Hristo Botev, Plovdiv
Season statsFirst League
Plovdiv9matchesSofia9matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in First League.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
42%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

54%
1425
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1601
41%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

60%
42%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

48%
2.69
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

1.96

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
99
0.78
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

2.22
22%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

67%
11%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

22%
67%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

11%
0%
Clean Sheet22%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

44%
33%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

33%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
99
1.00
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.67
67%
Scored > 0.567%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

67%
78%
Over 1.572%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

67%
67%
Over 2.561%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

56%
22%
Over 3.517%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

11%
67%
BTTS56%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

44%
22%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

44%
11%
Scored Both Halves17%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

22%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
99
1.78
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.56
0%
Clean Sheet22%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

44%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
99
1.46
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.29
2.08
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

0.94
-0.62
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.34
-0.23
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.13
0.18
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.11

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
99
-0.01
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.11

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
99
0%0/9
Leading at HT22%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

44%4/9
56%5/9
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

33%3/9
44%4/9
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

22%2/9
56%5/9
HT/FT Same Outcome67%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

78%7/9
0/0
Led at HT → Won

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

100%4/4
0%0/4
Trailed at HT → Recovered25%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

50%1/2

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 9/99/999
13%
0-15'17%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

21%
13%
16-30'6%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

0%
13%
31-45'21%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

29%
25%
46-60'16%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

7%
0%
61-75'11%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

21%
38%
76-90+'29%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

21%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 9/99/999
22%2/9
Scored First47%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

71%5/7
78%7/9
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

29%2/7
50%1/2
Win when Scoring First75%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

100%5/5
14%1/7
Win when Conceding First32%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

50%1/2
18'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

26'
36'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

39'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 9/99/999
22%2/9
Scored after 75'28%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

33%3/9
22%2/9
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

11%1/9
0/0
Lead Saved after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

100%4/4
0/0
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

0%0/4
0%0/9
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/9

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 9/99/999
100%8/8
Open-Play Share89%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

79%11/14
0%0/8
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

21%3/14
0%0/8
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/14
6%1/17
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

0%0/6
6%1/17
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

17%1/6

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
99
1.48
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

2.54

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 9/99/999
86%6/7
Match Cards > 3.582%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

78%7/9
7/9
86%6/7
Match Cards > 4.565%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

44%4/9
7/9
70%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

65%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgePlovdiv at home · Sofia on the road
54
0.20
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.75
0%0/5
Win Rate25%

Share of sampled matches won.

50%2/4
80%4/5
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

25%1/4
0.40
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.00
2.00
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.75
0%0/5
Clean Sheet13%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

25%1/4
40%2/5
BTTS45%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

50%2/4
40%2/5
Over 2.545%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

50%2/4
1.02
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.29
2.18
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

0.98