Ligue 1·
Regular Season - 7·10/05/2025·11:15
Monaco
Monaco
DLWLW
2-2
Finished
HT1-2
Nice
Nice
LDLLW
📍 Stade Louis II, Monaco
Last 10Ligue 1
Monaco10matchesNice10matches

Season just started — only a handful of league matches played so far. Every panel below reflects each team's most recent matches across all competitions.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
55%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

33%
1688
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1562
56%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

37%
53%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

28%
4.43
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.80

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1010
1.40
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

0.70
40%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

20%
20%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

10%
40%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

70%
0%
Clean Sheet5%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

10%
10%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

30%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1010
2.00
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

0.90
90%
Scored > 0.580%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

70%
90%
Over 1.585%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

80%
90%
Over 2.570%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

50%
70%
Over 3.550%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

30%
90%
BTTS75%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

60%
40%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

10%
60%
Scored Both Halves35%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

10%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1010
2.00
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.80
14.88
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

13.60
8/10
4.75
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

4.90
8/10
3.00
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

3.10
8/10
63%
Save %63%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

63%
8/10
0%
Clean Sheet5%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

10%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1010
1.80
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.40
1.56
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.48
0.24
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

-0.08
0.12
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.05
0.15
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.10

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
1010
10.75
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

12.50
8/10
3.38
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

3.50
8/10
7.50
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

7.70
8/10
70%
Box Shot %66%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

62%
8/10
31%
On-Target %30%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

28%
8/10
20%
Shot Conversion13%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

7%
8/10

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
1010
51%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

51%
8/10
85%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

84%
8/10
484.13
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

449.70
8/10
0.02
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

-0.01

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1010
40%4/10
Leading at HT30%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

20%2/10
30%3/10
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

40%4/10
30%3/10
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

40%4/10
60%6/10
HT/FT Same Outcome55%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

50%5/10
75%3/4
Led at HT → Won63%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

50%1/2
33%1/3
Trailed at HT → Recovered17%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

0%0/4

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 10/1010/101010
11%
0-15'12%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

13%
11%
16-30'12%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

13%
11%
31-45'18%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

25%
11%
46-60'18%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

25%
21%
61-75'11%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

0%
37%
76-90+'31%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

25%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 10/1010/101010
30%3/10
Scored First30%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

30%3/10
70%7/10
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

70%7/10
67%2/3
Win when Scoring First67%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

67%2/3
29%2/7
Win when Conceding First14%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

0%0/7
18'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

33'
36'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

33'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 10/1010/101010
60%6/10
Scored after 75'40%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

20%2/10
70%7/10
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

50%5/10
67%2/3
Lead Saved after 75'58%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

50%1/2
33%1/3
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

50%1/2
0%0/10
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/10

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 10/1010/101010
84%16/19
Open-Play Share80%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

75%6/8
11%2/19
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

25%2/8
5%1/19
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/8
10%2/21
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

5%1/19
10%2/21
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

5%1/19

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
1010
5.25
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

5.50
8/10
4.50
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

3.80
8/10
54%
Corner Share56%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

59%
8/10
1.19
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

1.28
88%7/8
Match Corners > 8.579%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

70%7/10
8/10
50%4/8
Match Corners > 9.545%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

40%4/10
8/10
38%3/8
Match Corners > 10.534%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

30%3/10
8/10

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 10/1010/101010
2.13
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

2.00
8/10
13%1/8
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

0%0/10
8/10
11.88
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

12.70
8/10
63%5/8
Match Cards > 3.565%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

67%6/9
8/109/10
50%4/8
Match Cards > 4.547%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

44%4/9
8/109/10
60%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

59%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeMonaco at home · Nice on the road
54
2.00
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

0.00
60%3/5
Win Rate30%

Share of sampled matches won.

0%0/4
20%1/5
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

100%4/4
2.80
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

0.75
1.80
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

2.75
0%0/5
Clean Sheet0%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

0%0/4
100%5/5
BTTS88%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

75%3/4
100%5/5
Over 2.588%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

75%3/4
2.26
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.31
1.24
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.77