Championship·
Regular Season - 43·04/18/2026·07:30
Millwall
Millwall
DLWDL
2-0
Finished
HT2-0
QPR
QPR
DDWWW
📍 The Den, London
Season statsChampionship
Millwall42matchesQPR42matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Championship.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
61%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

60%
1601
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1502
65%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

51%
56%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

69%
2.27
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.66

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
4242
1.74
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.38
50%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

38%
24%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

24%
26%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

38%
38%
Clean Sheet31%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

24%
19%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

26%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
4242
1.33
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.38
81%
Scored > 0.577%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

74%
79%
Over 1.576%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

74%
50%
Over 2.556%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

62%
21%
Over 3.530%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

38%
50%
BTTS57%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

64%
19%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

29%
19%
Scored Both Halves23%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

26%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
4242
1.12
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.50
13.12
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

11.95
4.02
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

3.95
2.81
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

2.49
41/42
70%
Save %66%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

61%
38%
Clean Sheet31%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

24%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
4242
1.38
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.16
1.57
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.16
-0.18
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.01
0.05
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

0.27
0.11
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.09

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
4242
12.57
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

12.64
4.10
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

3.95
8.64
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

8.05
69%
Box Shot %66%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

64%
33%
On-Target %32%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

31%
11%
Shot Conversion11%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

11%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
4242
46%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

45%
69%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

75%
337.62
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

363.17
-0.09
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

-0.12

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
4242
29%12/42
Leading at HT27%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

26%11/42
52%22/42
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

40%17/42
19%8/42
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

33%14/42
60%25/42
HT/FT Same Outcome62%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

64%27/42
100%12/12
Led at HT → Won91%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

82%9/11
38%3/8
Trailed at HT → Recovered29%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

21%3/14

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 42/4242/424242
7%
0-15'9%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

11%
13%
16-30'12%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

11%
17%
31-45'18%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

19%
17%
46-60'13%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

9%
17%
61-75'18%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

19%
30%
76-90+'30%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

30%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 42/4242/424242
49%19/39
Scored First40%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

31%11/36
51%20/39
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

69%25/36
84%16/19
Win when Scoring First88%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

91%10/11
25%5/20
Win when Conceding First25%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

24%6/25
36'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

29'
33'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

26'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 42/4242/424242
31%13/42
Scored after 75'32%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

33%14/42
29%12/42
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

19%8/42
81%13/16
Lead Saved after 75'91%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

100%9/9
19%3/16
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

0%0/9
0%0/42
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/42

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 42/4242/424242
96%52/54
Open-Play Share95%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

94%50/53
0%0/54
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

4%2/53
4%2/54
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

2%1/53
2%1/49
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

1%1/68
8%4/49
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

9%6/68

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
4242
5.45
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

4.67
5.40
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

5.21
50%
Corner Share49%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

47%
-0.29
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

-0.98
67%28/42
Match Corners > 8.568%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

69%29/42
52%22/42
Match Corners > 9.551%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

50%21/42
48%20/42
Match Corners > 10.542%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

36%15/42

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 42/4242/424242
1.83
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

1.86
7%3/42
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

2%1/42
13.02
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

11.02
63%24/38
Match Cards > 3.566%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

69%22/32
38/4232/42
37%14/38
Match Cards > 4.542%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

47%15/32
38/4232/42
69%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

67%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeMillwall at home · QPR on the road
2121
1.71
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.19
52%11/21
Win Rate40%

Share of sampled matches won.

29%6/21
33%7/21
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

38%8/21
1.38
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.00
1.19
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.48
43%9/21
Clean Sheet36%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

29%6/21
43%9/21
BTTS50%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

57%12/21
57%12/21
Over 2.552%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

48%10/21
1.40
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

0.90
1.25
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.19