Championship·
Regular Season - 40·04/03/2026·07:30
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
DDLWW
1-2
Finished
HT1-0
Millwall
Millwall
DLWWW
📍 Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough
Season statsChampionship
Middlesbrough39matchesMillwall39matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Championship.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
55%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

65%
1522
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1525
58%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

65%
51%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

65%
1.93
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.44

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
3939
1.82
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.77
51%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

51%
28%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

23%
21%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

26%
31%
Clean Sheet35%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

38%
26%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

18%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
3939
1.51
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.36
74%
Scored > 0.578%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

82%
69%
Over 1.574%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

79%
51%
Over 2.550%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

49%
26%
Over 3.524%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

23%
54%
BTTS51%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

49%
31%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

18%
21%
Scored Both Halves21%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

21%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
3939
0.95
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.13
9.90
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

12.59
3.18
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

4.03
2.23
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

2.85
70%
Save %70%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

71%
31%
Clean Sheet35%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

38%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
3939
1.74
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.54
0.75
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.37
0.98
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.17
-0.23
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

0.01
0.10
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.12

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
3939
15.31
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

12.72
4.69
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

4.15
9.62
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

8.72
63%
Box Shot %66%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

69%
31%
On-Target %32%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

33%
10%
Shot Conversion10%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

11%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
3939
60%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

47%
84%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

70%
517.31
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

340.54
0.27
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

-0.07

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
3939
36%14/39
Leading at HT33%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

31%12/39
33%13/39
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

51%20/39
31%12/39
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

18%7/39
69%27/39
HT/FT Same Outcome65%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

62%24/39
100%14/14
Led at HT → Won100%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

100%12/12
50%6/12
Trailed at HT → Recovered39%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

29%2/7

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 39/3939/393939
7%
0-15'7%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

8%
14%
16-30'14%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

14%
23%
31-45'20%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

18%
19%
46-60'17%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

14%
18%
61-75'18%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

18%
19%
76-90+'24%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

29%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 39/3939/393939
49%17/35
Scored First49%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

49%18/37
51%18/35
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

51%19/37
94%16/17
Win when Scoring First92%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

89%16/18
22%4/18
Win when Conceding First22%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

21%4/19
31'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

35'
28'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

34'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 39/3939/393939
26%10/39
Scored after 75'28%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

31%12/39
18%7/39
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

28%11/39
94%17/18
Lead Saved after 75'88%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

81%13/16
6%1/18
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

19%3/16
0%0/39
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/39

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 39/3939/393939
96%55/57
Open-Play Share96%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

96%49/51
2%1/57
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

0%0/51
2%1/57
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

4%2/51
5%2/39
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

2%1/46
8%3/39
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

9%4/46

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
3939
6.46
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

5.54
4.28
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

5.08
60%
Corner Share56%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

52%
3.06
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

1.05
69%27/39
Match Corners > 8.568%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

67%26/39
56%22/39
Match Corners > 9.554%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

51%20/39
51%20/39
Match Corners > 10.549%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

46%18/39

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 39/3939/393939
1.51
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

1.87
3%1/39
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

8%3/39
9.46
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

12.79
82%23/28
Match Cards > 3.575%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

69%24/35
28/3935/39
50%14/28
Match Cards > 4.545%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

40%14/35
28/3935/39
67%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

69%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeMiddlesbrough at home · Millwall on the road
1919
1.89
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.74
53%10/19
Win Rate50%

Share of sampled matches won.

47%9/19
16%3/19
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

21%4/19
1.42
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.32
0.74
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.11
42%8/19
Clean Sheet37%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

32%6/19
47%9/19
BTTS53%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

58%11/19
42%8/19
Over 2.542%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

42%8/19
1.68
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.47
0.81
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.50