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Sunderland vs Chelsea | Premier League - Market Analysis

Statistical analysis and probabilities across all markets.

Sunderland

W
D
D
L
L
W

24 May 2026

15:00 (UTC+0)

(1
-
0)

2

-

1

FT

Chelsea

W
L
D
L
W
L

TOP PICKS

Top Mathematical Model Picks

Stats Only

Based on xG, Elo ratings & historical game data. For live news & injury updates, check

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Portal Pulse

16 portals analyzed

Consensus from 16+ prediction portals. Each chart shows how many portals agree on each outcome — higher % means stronger consensus.

Preview (full breakdown in Premium report)

Top Mathematical Model Picks

Stats Only

Based on xG, Elo ratings & historical game data. For live news & injury updates, check

Game Intelligencemore accurate picks using live news, lineups & 50+ sources

Portal Pulse

16 portals analyzed

Consensus from 16+ prediction portals. Each chart shows how many portals agree on each outcome — higher % means stronger consensus.

Preview (full breakdown in Premium report)

HEAD TO HEAD

Form & Performance

England

Premier League

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

72%

55%

50%

22%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

52%

28%

25%

44%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

58%

26%

45%

50%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

47%

44%

55%

56%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

54%

53%

61%

57%

Home only

Away only

Home vs Away Strength

Upgrade to Premium to unlock detailed home vs away advantages, surprise indices, Brier scores, and ROI insights.

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Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

04/05
05/05
06/05
07/05
08/05

Home

0:0

09/05

10/05
11/05
12/05
13/05
14/05
15/05
16/05

Away

1:3

17/05

18/05
19/05
20/05
21/05
22/05
23/05

Home

2:1

24/05

25/05
26/05
27/05
28/05
29/05
30/05
31/05

Total Goals

average per game

England

Premier League

Poor
Attack
Poor
Good
Defense
Poor

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

-0.5
1.33
1.83

Scored

Conceded

0.67
2

Difference

-1.33

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

-1.33
0.33
1.67

Scored

Conceded

0.67
1.67

Difference

-1

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

-0.5
1.12
1.62

Scored

Conceded

0.62
1.88

Difference

-1.25

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

-0.45
1.05
1.5

Scored

Conceded

1.4
1.65

Difference

-0.25

Season

Full season averages

Difference

-0.19
1.08
1.27

Scored

Conceded

1.54
1.35

Difference

+0.19

League Average

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Head to Head

Last 365 days

1 Match

(100%)

1

Wins

Draws: 0

0

(0%)

1

(100%)

Avg Goals per Match

2
1

Scored

Conceded

1
2

Sunderland

Chelsea

All Matches

16 Matches

(25%)

4

Wins

Draws: 2

10

(63%)

4

(25%)

2

(13%)

10

(63%)

Avg Goals per Match

1.38
2.06

Scored

Conceded

2.06
1.38

Sunderland

Chelsea

England | Premier League

25 Oct 25

Chelsea

1
2

Sunderland

8mo ago

England | Premier League

21 May 17

Chelsea

5
1

Sunderland

9y ago

England | Premier League

14 Dec 16

Sunderland

0
1

Chelsea

9y ago

Total Goals

average per game

England

Premier League

Poor
Attack
Poor
Good
Defense
Poor

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

-0.5
1.33
1.83

Scored

Conceded

0.67
2

Difference

-1.33

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

-1.33
0.33
1.67

Scored

Conceded

0.67
1.67

Difference

-1

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

-0.5
1.12
1.62

Scored

Conceded

0.62
1.88

Difference

-1.25

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

-0.45
1.05
1.5

Scored

Conceded

1.4
1.65

Difference

-0.25

Season

Full season averages

Difference

-0.19
1.08
1.27

Scored

Conceded

1.54
1.35

Difference

+0.19

League Average

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Head to Head

Last 365 days

1 Match

(100%)

1

Wins

Draws: 0

0

(0%)

1

(100%)

Avg Goals per Match

2
1

Scored

Conceded

1
2

Sunderland

Chelsea

All Matches

16 Matches

(25%)

4

Wins

Draws: 2

10

(63%)

4

(25%)

2

(13%)

10

(63%)

Avg Goals per Match

1.38
2.06

Scored

Conceded

2.06
1.38

Sunderland

Chelsea

England | Premier League

25 Oct 25

Chelsea

1
2

Sunderland

8mo ago

England | Premier League

21 May 17

Chelsea

5
1

Sunderland

9y ago

England | Premier League

14 Dec 16

Sunderland

0
1

Chelsea

9y ago

Form & Performance

England

Premier League

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

72%

55%

50%

22%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

52%

28%

25%

44%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

58%

26%

45%

50%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

47%

44%

55%

56%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

54%

53%

61%

57%

Home only

Away only

Home vs Away Strength

Upgrade to Premium to unlock detailed home vs away advantages, surprise indices, Brier scores, and ROI insights.

3 days free · No credit card required

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

04/05
05/05
06/05
07/05
08/05

Home

0:0

09/05

10/05
11/05
12/05
13/05
14/05
15/05
16/05

Away

1:3

17/05

18/05
19/05
20/05
21/05
22/05
23/05

Home

2:1

24/05

25/05
26/05
27/05
28/05
29/05
30/05
31/05

Unlock In-Depth Sports Data Insights!

Filter by Competition, Period, Teams, and Half-Times for Tailored Analysis

Competition

Period

Side

FT/HT

PERFORMANCE TRENDS

Change of Long Term Quality

Shows the change of long term quality in past.

Sunderland

Chelsea

Goals History

Sunderland

Chelsea

Overall Form

54%
Overall Form
36%
4
Wins
3
2
Draws
1
4
Losses
6

Rankings

Current Season

10
Premier League
8
37
Played
37
1.38
Points per Match
1.41

Quality

53%
Team Quality
40%
52%
Avg Opponent Quality
60%

Goals Performance

45%
Goals Performance
34%
1.1
Scored Goals
1.2
1.4
Conceded Goals
1.6
-0.3
Goals Difference
(Scored - Conceded)
-0.4
2.5
Total Goals
(Scored + Conceded)
2.8

Average Goals per Match

vs

MATCH HISTORY

Last Matches (1X2)

Fulltime

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
England

England | Premier League

FT

24/05

15:00

Sunderland
Chelsea
2
1

H

3.49

D

3.63

A

2.02

W
England

England | Premier League

FT

17/05

14:00

Everton
Sunderland
1
3

H

1.84

D

3.69

A

4.19

W
England

England | Premier League

FT

09/05

14:00

Sunderland
Manchester United
0
0

H

3.79

D

3.66

A

1.95

D
England

England | Premier League

FT

02/05

14:00

Wolves
Sunderland
1
1

H

3.68

D

3.49

A

2.02

D
England

England | Premier League

FT

24/04

19:00

Sunderland
Nottingham Forest
0
5

H

2.73

D

3.14

A

2.74

L
England

England | Premier League

FT

19/04

13:00

Aston Villa
Sunderland
4
3

H

1.76

D

3.65

A

4.83

L
England

England | Premier League

FT

12/04

13:00

Sunderland
Tottenham
1
0

H

2.70

D

3.32

A

2.65

W
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Sunderland

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
England

England | Premier League

FT

24/05

15:00

Sunderland
Chelsea
2
1

H

3.49

D

3.63

A

2.02

W
England

England | Premier League

FT

17/05

14:00

Everton
Sunderland
1
3

H

1.84

D

3.69

A

4.19

W
England

England | Premier League

FT

09/05

14:00

Sunderland
Manchester United
0
0

H

3.79

D

3.66

A

1.95

D
England

England | Premier League

FT

02/05

14:00

Wolves
Sunderland
1
1

H

3.68

D

3.49

A

2.02

D
England

England | Premier League

FT

24/04

19:00

Sunderland
Nottingham Forest
0
5

H

2.73

D

3.14

A

2.74

L
England

England | Premier League

FT

19/04

13:00

Aston Villa
Sunderland
4
3

H

1.76

D

3.65

A

4.83

L
England

England | Premier League

FT

12/04

13:00

Sunderland
Tottenham
1
0

H

2.70

D

3.32

A

2.65

W
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Chelsea

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
England

England | Premier League

FT

24/05

15:00

Sunderland
Chelsea
2
1

H

3.49

D

3.63

A

2.02

L
England

England | Premier League

FT

19/05

19:15

Chelsea
Tottenham
2
1

H

2.10

D

3.46

A

3.49

W
England

England | FA Cup

FT

16/05

14:00

Chelsea
Manchester City
0
1

H

4.60

D

3.96

A

1.72

L
England

England | Premier League

FT

09/05

11:30

Liverpool
Chelsea
1
1

H

1.94

D

3.79

A

3.71

D
England

England | Premier League

FT

04/05

14:00

Chelsea
Nottingham Forest
1
3

H

1.70

D

3.95

A

4.85

L
England

England | FA Cup

FT

26/04

14:00

Chelsea
Leeds
1
0

H

1.98

D

3.59

A

3.63

W
England

England | Premier League

FT

21/04

19:00

Brighton
Chelsea
3
0

H

2.37

D

3.52

A

2.89

L
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Statistics

Average Statistics per Game

1.25
Expected Goals
Missing Data (0 | 2)
0.96
12
Total Shots
12.2
4
Shots on Goal
3.6
8.1
Shots Inside Box
7.7
3.9
Shots Outside Box
4.5
49%
Possession
55%
78%
Passes %
87%

TACTICAL OVERVIEW

Lineups

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 1.89 per game

Low Team Rotation!
Rare lineup changes boost chemistry but may cause fatigue

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

9

B. Brobbey

6.5
L

Midfielders

34

G. Xhaka

7.9
M

27

N. Sadiki

6.9
L

32

T. Hume

8.2
M

28

E. Le Fee

7.9
L

10

N. Angulo

6.3
M

Defenders

6

L. Geertruida

6.5
H

20

N. Mukiele

6.9
M

13

L. O'Nien

6.7
H

17

R. Mandava

6.5
M

Goalkeepers

22

R. Roefs

5.9
L
Injuries/Absence

Key Players

D. Ballard

Red Card

M

Others

S. Moore

Wrist Injury

H

R. Mundle

Hamstring Injury

-

C. Talbi

Muscle Injury

H

Sunderland

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 1.89 per game

Low Team Rotation!
Rare lineup changes boost chemistry but may cause fatigue

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

9

B. Brobbey

6.5
L

Midfielders

34

G. Xhaka

7.9
M

27

N. Sadiki

6.9
L

32

T. Hume

8.2
M

28

E. Le Fee

7.9
L

10

N. Angulo

6.3
M

Defenders

6

L. Geertruida

6.5
H

20

N. Mukiele

6.9
M

13

L. O'Nien

6.7
H

17

R. Mandava

6.5
M

Goalkeepers

22

R. Roefs

5.9
L
Injuries/Absence

Key Players

D. Ballard

Red Card

M

Others

S. Moore

Wrist Injury

H

R. Mundle

Hamstring Injury

-

C. Talbi

Muscle Injury

H

Chelsea

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 2.78 per game

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

10

C. Palmer

7.6
L

7

P. Neto

7.2
M

20

Joao Pedro

6.9
L

Midfielders

27

M. Gusto

6.7
L

25

M. Caicedo

6.9
M

8

E. Fernandez

6.3
L

3

M. Cucurella

6.5
M

Defenders

29

W. Fofana

5.2
M

6

L. Colwill

7.2
M

21

J. Hato

5.9
M

Goalkeepers

1

R. Sanchez

6.6
L
Injuries/Absence

Key Players

Hamstring Injury

M

R. Lavia

Knock

M

Others

J. Gittens

Muscle Injury

-

M. Mudryk

Suspended

-

Player Rotation Legend

L

Low

M

Medium

H

High

-

Unknown

  • Low: Regular starter with stable minutes
  • Medium: Plays regularly but role/minutes vary
  • High: Unpredictable role, often rotated or benched.

Odds Movement

All odds shown are the average odds from all bookmakers in our system.

Home

3.49

Draw

3.63

Away

2.02

3.36

Home

3.60

3.57

Draw

3.69

1.96

Away

2.08

Max

Home

3.60

Draw

3.69

Away

2.08

%

7%
3%
6%

Min

Home

3.36

Draw

3.57

Away

1.96

NOTE: Odds are updated every 3 hours.