Primera División - Apertura·
Intermediate Round - 7·06/29/2025·11:30
Juventud
Juventud
WLWWL
2-0
Finished
HT1-0
Progreso
Progreso
LWLWL
📍 Estadio Municipal Parque Artigas, Las Piedras
Season statsPrimera División - Apertura
Juventud21matchesProgreso21matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Primera División - Apertura.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
66%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

39%
1419
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1307
70%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

44%
62%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

34%
3.42
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.33

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
2121
2.00
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.00
62%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

24%
14%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

29%
24%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

48%
24%
Clean Sheet19%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

14%
14%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

29%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
2121
1.67
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.00
86%
Scored > 0.579%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

71%
71%
Over 1.574%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

76%
62%
Over 2.555%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

48%
33%
Over 3.531%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

29%
67%
BTTS64%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

62%
43%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

14%
33%
Scored Both Halves24%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

14%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
2121
1.24
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.67
24%
Clean Sheet19%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

14%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
2121
1.96
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.10
1.59
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.86
0.37
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

-0.76
-0.39
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.18

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
2121
33%7/21
Leading at HT26%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

19%4/21
48%10/21
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

33%7/21
19%4/21
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

48%10/21
48%10/21
HT/FT Same Outcome55%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

62%13/21
86%6/7
Led at HT → Won68%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

50%2/4
50%2/4
Trailed at HT → Recovered35%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

20%2/10

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 21/2121/212121
5%
0-15'7%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

10%
15%
16-30'10%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

5%
21%
31-45'15%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

10%
13%
46-60'23%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

33%
28%
61-75'19%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

10%
18%
76-90+'26%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

33%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 21/2121/212121
60%12/20
Scored First50%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

40%8/20
40%8/20
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

60%12/20
83%10/12
Win when Scoring First67%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

50%4/8
38%3/8
Win when Conceding First23%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

8%1/12
29'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

39'
36'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

25'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 21/2121/212121
33%7/21
Scored after 75'33%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

33%7/21
29%6/21
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

48%10/21
92%11/12
Lead Saved after 75'71%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

50%3/6
8%1/12
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

50%3/6
10%2/21
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

29%6/21

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 21/2121/212121
77%30/39
Open-Play Share74%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

71%15/21
15%6/39
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

24%5/21
8%3/39
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

5%1/21
17%4/24
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

22%8/36
4%1/24
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

3%1/36

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 21/2121/212121
63%12/19
Match Cards > 3.582%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

100%20/20
19/2120/21
42%8/19
Match Cards > 4.564%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

85%17/20
19/2120/21
71%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

71%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeJuventud at home · Progreso on the road
1010
2.50
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.00
80%8/10
Win Rate50%

Share of sampled matches won.

20%2/10
10%1/10
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

40%4/10
1.90
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.00
1.00
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.70
30%3/10
Clean Sheet20%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS65%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.555%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

50%5/10
1.93
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.08
1.21
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

2.20