Primera División - Apertura·
Apertura - 8·03/27/2025·18:00
Wanderers
Wanderers
LDWDL
1-1
Finished
HT0-1
Progreso
Progreso
WDDDL
📍 Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera, Montevideo
Last 10Primera División - Apertura
Wanderers10matchesProgreso10matches

Season just started — only a handful of league matches played so far. Every panel below reflects each team's most recent matches across all competitions.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
51%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

51%
1303
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1268
47%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

38%
55%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

64%
2.31
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

3.59

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1010
1.10
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

0.70
20%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

10%
50%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

40%
30%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

50%
40%
Clean Sheet20%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

0%
40%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

0%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1010
1.00
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.30
60%
Scored > 0.580%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

100%
70%
Over 1.585%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

100%
30%
Over 2.555%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

80%
10%
Over 3.535%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

60%
40%
BTTS70%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

100%
0%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

10%
20%
Scored Both Halves20%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

20%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1010
0.90
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

2.60
11.00
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

1/100/10
4.00
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

1/100/10
4.00
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

1/100/10
100%
Save %

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

1/100/10
40%
Clean Sheet20%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

0%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1010
1.22
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.29
1.43
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

2.43
-0.22
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

-1.13
-0.20
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.26
0.09
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
1010
13.00
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

1/100/10
3.00
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

1/100/10
8.00
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

1/100/10
62%
Box Shot %

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

1/100/10
23%
On-Target %

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

1/100/10
0%
Shot Conversion

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

1/100/10

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
1010
58%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

1/100/10
63%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

1/100/10
302.00
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

1/100/10
0.16
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1010
10%1/10
Leading at HT15%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

20%2/10
70%7/10
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

10%1/10
20%2/10
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

70%7/10
60%6/10
HT/FT Same Outcome60%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

60%6/10
100%1/1
Led at HT → Won50%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

0%0/2
50%1/2
Trailed at HT → Recovered39%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

29%2/7

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 10/1010/101010
9%
0-15'8%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

8%
9%
16-30'8%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

8%
0%
31-45'0%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

0%
18%
46-60'28%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

38%
45%
61-75'23%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

0%
18%
76-90+'32%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

46%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 10/1010/101010
50%4/8
Scored First40%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

30%3/10
50%4/8
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

70%7/10
50%2/4
Win when Scoring First25%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

0%0/3
0%0/4
Win when Conceding First7%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

14%1/7
32'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

24'
52'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

16'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 10/1010/101010
20%2/10
Scored after 75'40%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

60%6/10
30%3/10
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

50%5/10
100%2/2
Lead Saved after 75'50%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

0%0/1
0%0/2
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

100%1/1
20%2/10
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

60%6/10

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 10/1010/101010
45%5/11
Open-Play Share65%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

85%11/13
55%6/11
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

15%2/13
0%0/11
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/13
30%3/10
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

12%3/26
0%0/10
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/26

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
1010
10.00
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

1/100/10
1.00
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

1/100/10
91%
Corner Share

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

1/100/10
9.00
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

100%1/1
Match Corners > 8.5

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

0/0
1/100/10
100%1/1
Match Corners > 9.5

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

0/0
1/100/10
100%1/1
Match Corners > 10.5

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

0/0
1/100/10

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 10/1010/101010
1.00
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

1/100/10
0%0/1
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

0/0
1/100/10
11.00
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

1/100/10
70%7/10
Match Cards > 3.585%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

100%10/10
60%6/10
Match Cards > 4.575%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

90%9/10
72%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

65%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeWanderers at home · Progreso on the road
54
1.60
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

0.50
40%2/5
Win Rate20%

Share of sampled matches won.

0%0/4
20%1/5
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

50%2/4
1.40
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.00
0.60
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

2.00
60%3/5
Clean Sheet30%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

0%0/4
40%2/5
BTTS70%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

100%4/4
40%2/5
Over 2.545%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

50%2/4
1.48
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

0.99
1.27
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

2.30