Championship·
Regular Season - 21·12/14/2024·10:00
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
LDWLW
1-0
Finished
HT1-0
Millwall
Millwall
LLDDD
📍 Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough
Season statsChampionship
Middlesbrough20matchesMillwall19matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Championship.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
56%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

45%
1585
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1510
57%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

58%
56%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

32%
3.88
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

1.42

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
2019
1.55
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.32
45%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

32%
20%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

37%
35%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

32%
25%
Clean Sheet31%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

37%
25%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

32%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
2019
1.70
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.05
75%
Scored > 0.572%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

68%
70%
Over 1.559%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

47%
45%
Over 2.533%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

21%
35%
Over 3.525%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

16%
50%
BTTS46%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

42%
20%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

5%
30%
Scored Both Halves18%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

5%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
2019
1.25
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.89
8.85
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

10.05
3.05
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

3.37
1.85
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

2.42
61%
Save %66%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

72%
25%
Clean Sheet31%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

37%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
2019
1.53
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.11
1.12
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.01
0.41
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.10
0.35
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.24
0.11
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.11

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
2019
15.25
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

11.68
5.25
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

3.79
10.65
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

8.68
70%
Box Shot %72%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

74%
34%
On-Target %33%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

32%
11%
Shot Conversion10%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

9%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
2019
55%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

40%
86%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

69%
518.85
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

294.53
0.07
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

-0.19

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
2019
35%7/20
Leading at HT31%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

26%5/19
35%7/20
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

42%8/19
30%6/20
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

32%6/19
65%13/20
HT/FT Same Outcome64%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

63%12/19
86%6/7
Led at HT → Won73%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

60%3/5
17%1/6
Trailed at HT → Recovered17%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

17%1/6

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 20/2019/192019
9%
0-15'7%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

5%
12%
16-30'8%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

5%
29%
31-45'27%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

25%
15%
46-60'20%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

25%
9%
61-75'12%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

15%
26%
76-90+'26%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

25%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 20/2019/192019
55%11/20
Scored First54%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

53%9/17
45%9/20
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

47%8/17
73%8/11
Win when Scoring First70%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

67%6/9
11%1/9
Win when Conceding First6%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

0%0/8
40'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

44'
26'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

33'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 20/2019/192019
35%7/20
Scored after 75'31%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

26%5/19
30%6/20
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

26%5/19
80%8/10
Lead Saved after 75'76%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

71%5/7
20%2/10
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

29%2/7
10%2/20
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

5%1/19

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 20/2019/192019
85%29/34
Open-Play Share90%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

95%19/20
9%3/34
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

5%1/20
6%2/34
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/20
0%0/25
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

0%0/17
8%2/25
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/17

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
2019
6.05
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

5.84
4.80
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

5.47
56%
Corner Share54%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

52%
0.12
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

0.17
75%15/20
Match Corners > 8.580%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

84%16/19
60%12/20
Match Corners > 9.569%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

79%15/19
60%12/20
Match Corners > 10.562%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

63%12/19

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 20/2019/192019
1.60
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

2.32
5%1/20
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

5%1/19
9.25
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

12.63
69%11/16
Match Cards > 3.573%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

76%13/17
16/2017/19
50%8/16
Match Cards > 4.543%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

35%6/17
16/2017/19
50%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

77%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeMiddlesbrough at home · Millwall on the road
108
1.70
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.00
50%5/10
Win Rate31%

Share of sampled matches won.

13%1/8
30%3/10
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

25%2/8
1.50
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

0.88
1.10
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.00
30%3/10
Clean Sheet34%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

38%3/8
40%4/10
BTTS45%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

50%4/8
40%4/10
Over 2.526%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

13%1/8
1.51
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.05
1.28
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.08