First League·
Regular Season - 20·02/09/2025·10:15
Levski Sofia
Levski Sofia
WWLWW
2-1
Finished
HT1-0
Ludogorets
Ludogorets
WDLDW
📍 Vivacom Arena - Georgi Asparuhov, Sofia
Season statsFirst League
Sofia19matchesLudogorets19matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in First League.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
69%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

64%
1637
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1702
68%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

70%
70%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

58%
2.86
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

3.41

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1919
2.11
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

2.79
68%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

89%
5%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

11%
26%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

0%
53%
Clean Sheet66%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

79%
21%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

5%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1919
1.84
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

2.26
79%
Scored > 0.587%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

95%
68%
Over 1.568%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

68%
42%
Over 2.545%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

47%
21%
Over 3.524%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

26%
32%
BTTS26%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

21%
21%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

16%
42%
Scored Both Halves50%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

58%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1919
0.74
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.32
9.67
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

6.80
3/195/19
2.00
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

1.60
3/195/19
2.00
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

1.60
3/195/19
100%
Save %100%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

100%
3/195/19
53%
Clean Sheet66%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

79%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1919
1.91
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

2.63
0.82
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.39
1.09
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

1.24
-0.32
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.52
0.13
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.22

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
1919
14.00
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

14.80
3/195/19
4.33
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

4.20
3/195/19
6.67
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

9.20
3/195/19
48%
Box Shot %55%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

62%
3/195/19
31%
On-Target %30%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

28%
3/195/19
5%
Shot Conversion9%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

14%
3/195/19

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
1919
54%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

62%
3/195/19
80%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

87%
3/195/19
353.00
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

542.00
3/195/19
0.21
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.01

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1919
53%10/19
Leading at HT58%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

63%12/19
37%7/19
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

37%7/19
11%2/19
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

0%0/19
68%13/19
HT/FT Same Outcome71%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

74%14/19
100%10/10
Led at HT → Won100%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

100%12/12
0%0/2
Trailed at HT → Recovered

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

0/0

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 19/1919/191919
23%
0-15'21%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

20%
14%
16-30'10%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

5%
14%
31-45'21%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

28%
6%
46-60'10%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

15%
14%
61-75'13%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

13%
29%
76-90+'24%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

20%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 19/1919/191919
72%13/18
Scored First81%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

89%16/18
28%5/18
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

11%2/18
92%12/13
Win when Scoring First93%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

94%15/16
20%1/5
Win when Conceding First60%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

100%2/2
26'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

31'
53'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

29'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 19/1919/191919
37%7/19
Scored after 75'37%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

37%7/19
21%4/19
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

11%2/19
100%11/11
Lead Saved after 75'96%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

93%13/14
0%0/11
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

7%1/14
16%3/19
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

5%1/19

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 19/1919/191919
94%33/35
Open-Play Share95%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

95%38/40
6%2/35
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

5%2/40
0%0/35
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/40
14%2/14
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

22%2/9
0%0/14
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

33%3/9

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
1919
6.00
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

6.20
3/195/19
4.33
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

2.40
3/195/19
58%
Corner Share65%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

72%
3/195/19
1.81
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

-0.97
67%2/3
Match Corners > 8.553%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

40%2/5
3/195/19
67%2/3
Match Corners > 9.553%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

40%2/5
3/195/19
33%1/3
Match Corners > 10.527%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

20%1/5
3/195/19

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 19/1919/191919
2.67
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

0.60
3/195/19
0%0/3
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

0%0/5
3/195/19
14.00
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

7.60
3/195/19
93%13/14
Match Cards > 3.581%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

69%9/13
14/1913/19
50%7/14
Match Cards > 4.548%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

46%6/13
14/1913/19
64%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

65%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeSofia at home · Ludogorets on the road
99
2.33
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

2.78
78%7/9
Win Rate83%

Share of sampled matches won.

89%8/9
22%2/9
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

0%0/9
1.89
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

2.44
0.78
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.56
56%5/9
Clean Sheet61%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

67%6/9
33%3/9
BTTS33%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

33%3/9
56%5/9
Over 2.556%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

56%5/9
1.77
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

2.57
0.94
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.25