NB III - Southeast·
Southeast - 23·04/07/2024·10:00
ESMTK
ESMTK
WDWWW
3-0
Finished
HT2-0
Dabas
Dabas
LLLLW
📍 ESMTK Stadion, Budapest
Last 10NB III - Southeast
ESMTK10matchesDabas10matches

Not in either team's main domestic league — every panel below reflects each team's most recent matches across all competitions.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
1558
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1258

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1010
2.40
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

0.80
70%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

20%
30%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

20%
0%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

60%
40%
Clean Sheet25%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

10%
10%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

10%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1010
2.10
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.50
90%
Scored > 0.590%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

90%
70%
Over 1.585%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

100%
70%
Over 2.570%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

70%
50%
Over 3.545%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

40%
60%
BTTS70%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

80%
40%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

10%
56%
Scored Both Halves28%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

0%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1010
0.80
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

2.10
40%
Clean Sheet25%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

10%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1010
2.62
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.56
1.35
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

2.27
1.28
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

-0.69
-0.21
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.18

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1010
33%3/9
Leading at HT23%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

13%1/8
67%6/9
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

50%4/8
0%0/9
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

38%3/8
44%4/9
HT/FT Same Outcome47%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

50%4/8
67%2/3
Led at HT → Won33%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

0%0/1
0/0
Trailed at HT → Recovered

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

33%1/3

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 3/108/101010
0%
0-15'0%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

0%
33%
16-30'23%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

13%
0%
31-45'6%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

13%
17%
46-60'15%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

13%
17%
61-75'15%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

13%
33%
76-90+'42%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

50%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 3/108/101010
67%2/3
Scored First52%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

38%3/8
33%1/3
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

63%5/8
100%2/2
Win when Scoring First67%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

33%1/3
0%0/1
Win when Conceding First0%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

0%0/5
43'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

50'
9'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

36'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 3/108/101010
67%2/3
Scored after 75'58%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

50%4/8
33%1/3
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

50%4/8
100%2/2
Lead Saved after 75'100%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

100%1/1
0%0/2
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

0%0/1
33%1/3
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

50%4/8

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 3/108/101010
50%3/6
Open-Play Share75%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

100%8/8
50%3/6
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

0%0/8
0%0/6
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/8
0%0/4
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

7%1/15
0%0/4
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

7%1/15

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 3/108/101010
100%1/1
Match Cards > 3.5

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

0/0
1/100/10
0%0/1
Match Cards > 4.5

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

0/0
1/100/10
67%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

100%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeESMTK at home · Dabas on the road
25
2.00
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

0.80
50%1/2
Win Rate35%

Share of sampled matches won.

20%1/5
0%0/2
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

60%3/5
1.50
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.60
1.00
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

2.20
50%1/2
Clean Sheet25%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

0%0/5
50%1/2
BTTS65%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

80%4/5
50%1/2
Over 2.555%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

60%3/5
2.40
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.55
1.24
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

2.36