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Almeria vs Castellón | Segunda División - Market Analysis

Statistical analysis and probabilities across all markets.

Almeria

D
W
L
L
D
W

09 Jun 2026

19:00 (UTC+0)

(1
-
0)

1

-

0

2nd Half

46'

Castellón

D
W
W
D
D
L

TOP PICKS

Top Mathematical Model Picks

Stats Only

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Portal Pulse

16 portals analyzed

Consensus from 16+ prediction portals. Each chart shows how many portals agree on each outcome — higher % means stronger consensus.

Preview (full breakdown in Premium report)

Top Mathematical Model Picks

Stats Only

Based on xG, Elo ratings & historical game data. For live news & injury updates, check

Game Intelligencemore accurate picks using live news, lineups & 50+ sources

Portal Pulse

16 portals analyzed

Consensus from 16+ prediction portals. Each chart shows how many portals agree on each outcome — higher % means stronger consensus.

Preview (full breakdown in Premium report)

HEAD TO HEAD

Form & Performance

Spain

Segunda División

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

55%

83%

67%

88%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

55%

61%

83%

66%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

63%

73%

90%

62%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

70%

66%

78%

61%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

64%

64%

76%

58%

Home only

Away only

Home vs Away Strength

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Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

25/05
26/05
27/05
28/05
29/05
30/05

Home

1:0

31/05

01/06
02/06
03/06
04/06
05/06

Away

1:1

06/06

07/06
08/06

Home

2nd Half

09/06

10/06
11/06
12/06
13/06
14/06
15/06
16/06
17/06
18/06
19/06
20/06
21/06

Total Goals

average per game

Spain

Segunda División

Excellent
Attack
Good
Good
Defense
Good

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

0
1.33
1.33

Scored

Conceded

1.17
1

Difference

+0.17

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

+1.33
2.67
1.33

Scored

Conceded

1.83
1.33

Difference

+0.5

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

-0.25
1.75
2

Scored

Conceded

1.75
1.25

Difference

+0.5

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

+0.5
2.05
1.55

Scored

Conceded

1.75
1.35

Difference

+0.4

Season

Full season averages

Difference

+0.42
1.91
1.49

Scored

Conceded

1.65
1.21

Difference

+0.44

League Average

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Head to Head

Last 365 days

3 Matches

(33%)

1

Wins

Draws: 1

1

(33%)

1

(33%)

1

(33%)

1

(33%)

Avg Goals per Match

0.67
1

Scored

Conceded

1
0.67

Almeria

Castellón

All Matches

7 Matches

(43%)

3

Wins

Draws: 1

3

(43%)

3

(43%)

1

(14%)

3

(43%)

Avg Goals per Match

1.43
2

Scored

Conceded

2
1.43

Almeria

Castellón

Spain | Segunda División

06 Jun 26

Castellón

1
1

Almeria

3d ago

Spain | Segunda División

02 Apr 26

Castellón

2
0

Almeria

2mo ago

Spain | Segunda División

26 Oct 25

Almeria

1
0

Castellón

8mo ago

Total Goals

average per game

Spain

Segunda División

Excellent
Attack
Good
Good
Defense
Good

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

0
1.33
1.33

Scored

Conceded

1.17
1

Difference

+0.17

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

+1.33
2.67
1.33

Scored

Conceded

1.83
1.33

Difference

+0.5

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

-0.25
1.75
2

Scored

Conceded

1.75
1.25

Difference

+0.5

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

+0.5
2.05
1.55

Scored

Conceded

1.75
1.35

Difference

+0.4

Season

Full season averages

Difference

+0.42
1.91
1.49

Scored

Conceded

1.65
1.21

Difference

+0.44

League Average

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Head to Head

Last 365 days

3 Matches

(33%)

1

Wins

Draws: 1

1

(33%)

1

(33%)

1

(33%)

1

(33%)

Avg Goals per Match

0.67
1

Scored

Conceded

1
0.67

Almeria

Castellón

All Matches

7 Matches

(43%)

3

Wins

Draws: 1

3

(43%)

3

(43%)

1

(14%)

3

(43%)

Avg Goals per Match

1.43
2

Scored

Conceded

2
1.43

Almeria

Castellón

Spain | Segunda División

06 Jun 26

Castellón

1
1

Almeria

3d ago

Spain | Segunda División

02 Apr 26

Castellón

2
0

Almeria

2mo ago

Spain | Segunda División

26 Oct 25

Almeria

1
0

Castellón

8mo ago

Form & Performance

Spain

Segunda División

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

55%

83%

67%

88%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

55%

61%

83%

66%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

63%

73%

90%

62%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

70%

66%

78%

61%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

64%

64%

76%

58%

Home only

Away only

Home vs Away Strength

Upgrade to Premium to unlock detailed home vs away advantages, surprise indices, Brier scores, and ROI insights.

3 days free · No credit card required

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

25/05
26/05
27/05
28/05
29/05
30/05

Home

1:0

31/05

01/06
02/06
03/06
04/06
05/06

Away

1:1

06/06

07/06
08/06

Home

2nd Half

09/06

10/06
11/06
12/06
13/06
14/06
15/06
16/06
17/06
18/06
19/06
20/06
21/06

Unlock In-Depth Sports Data Insights!

Filter by Competition, Period, Teams, and Half-Times for Tailored Analysis

Competition

Period

Side

FT/HT

PERFORMANCE TRENDS

Change of Long Term Quality

Shows the change of long term quality in past.

Almeria

Castellón

Goals History

Almeria

Castellón

Overall Form

63%
Overall Form
70%
5
Wins
5
2
Draws
4
3
Losses
1

Rankings

Current Season

3
LaLiga 2
6
42
Played
42
1.76
Points per Match
1.71

Quality

64%
Team Quality
64%
54%
Avg Opponent Quality
52%

Goals Performance

50%
Goals Performance
58%
1.8
Scored Goals
1.8
1.8
Conceded Goals
1.3
0
Goals Difference
(Scored - Conceded)
0.5
3.6
Total Goals
(Scored + Conceded)
3.1

Average Goals per Match

vs

MATCH HISTORY

Last Matches (1X2)

Fulltime

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Spain

Spain | Segunda División

2H

09/06

19:00

Almeria
Castellón
1
0

H

2.31

D

3.45

A

2.83

W
Spain

Spain | Segunda División

FT

06/06

19:00

Castellón
Almeria
1
1

H

1.82

D

3.79

A

3.98

D
Spain

Spain | Segunda División

FT

31/05

16:30

Almeria
Valladolid
1
0

H

1.37

D

4.88

A

7.12

W
Spain

Spain | Segunda División

FT

24/05

16:30

Sporting Gijon
Almeria
3
1

H

3.52

D

3.76

A

1.91

L
Spain

Spain | Segunda División

FT

16/05

16:30

Almeria
Las Palmas
1
2

H

1.84

D

3.63

A

3.93

L
Spain

Spain | Segunda División

FT

09/05

14:15

Burgos
Almeria
0
0

H

2.51

D

3.17

A

2.78

D
Spain

Spain | Segunda División

FT

04/05

18:30

Almeria
Mirandes
4
2

H

1.40

D

4.86

A

6.40

W
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Almeria

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Spain

Spain | Segunda División

2H

09/06

19:00

Almeria
Castellón
1
0

H

2.31

D

3.45

A

2.83

W
Spain

Spain | Segunda División

FT

06/06

19:00

Castellón
Almeria
1
1

H

1.82

D

3.79

A

3.98

D
Spain

Spain | Segunda División

FT

31/05

16:30

Almeria
Valladolid
1
0

H

1.37

D

4.88

A

7.12

W
Spain

Spain | Segunda División

FT

24/05

16:30

Sporting Gijon
Almeria
3
1

H

3.52

D

3.76

A

1.91

L
Spain

Spain | Segunda División

FT

16/05

16:30

Almeria
Las Palmas
1
2

H

1.84

D

3.63

A

3.93

L
Spain

Spain | Segunda División

FT

09/05

14:15

Burgos
Almeria
0
0

H

2.51

D

3.17

A

2.78

D
Spain

Spain | Segunda División

FT

04/05

18:30

Almeria
Mirandes
4
2

H

1.40

D

4.86

A

6.40

W
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Castellón

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Spain

Spain | Segunda División

2H

09/06

19:00

Almeria
Castellón
1
0

H

2.31

D

3.45

A

2.83

L
Spain

Spain | Segunda División

FT

06/06

19:00

Castellón
Almeria
1
1

H

1.82

D

3.79

A

3.98

D
Spain

Spain | Segunda División

FT

31/05

16:30

Castellón
Eibar
2
1

H

1.52

D

4.39

A

5.16

W
Spain

Spain | Segunda División

FT

24/05

16:30

Huesca
Castellón
0
1

H

4.56

D

4.01

A

1.65

W
Spain

Spain | Segunda División

FT

15/05

18:30

Castellón
Cadiz
1
1

H

1.24

D

5.99

A

10.11

D
Spain

Spain | Segunda División

FT

09/05

12:00

AD Ceuta FC
Castellón
1
1

H

4.80

D

4.28

A

1.59

D
Spain

Spain | Segunda División

FT

02/05

16:30

Castellón
Cordoba
1
2

H

1.42

D

4.66

A

6.05

L
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Statistics

Average Statistics per Game

1.48
Expected Goals
Missing Data (6 | 3)
2.09
16.2
Total Shots
17
5.6
Shots on Goal
6
10.3
Shots Inside Box
13.2
5.9
Shots Outside Box
3.8
51%
Possession
55%
82%
Passes %
81%

TACTICAL OVERVIEW

Lineups

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 2.22 per game

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

24

Miguel de la Fuente

6.3
L

Midfielders

29

Stefan Džodić

6.9
L

17

Dion Lopy

7.3
L

12

Léo Baptistão

6.3
M

11

Sergio Arribas

6.9
L

23

Adrián Embarba

7.5
L

Defenders

22

Daijiro Chirino

6.7
H

5

Rodrigo Ely

6.6
M

18

Federico Bonini

6.7
L

3

Álex Muñoz

6.5
L

Goalkeepers

1

Andrés Fernández

6.3
L

Almeria

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 2.22 per game

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

24

Miguel de la Fuente

6.3
L

Midfielders

29

Stefan Džodić

6.9
L

17

Dion Lopy

7.3
L

12

Léo Baptistão

6.3
M

11

Sergio Arribas

6.9
L

23

Adrián Embarba

7.5
L

Defenders

22

Daijiro Chirino

6.7
H

5

Rodrigo Ely

6.6
M

18

Federico Bonini

6.7
L

3

Álex Muñoz

6.5
L

Goalkeepers

1

Andrés Fernández

6.3
L

Castellón

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 1.67 per game

Low Team Rotation!
Rare lineup changes boost chemistry but may cause fatigue

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

9

Ousmane Camara

6.2
L

19

Adam Jakobsen

6.6
L

Midfielders

21

Álex Calatrava

6.3
L

15

Beñat Gerenabarrena

6.9
L

8

Diego Barri

6.3
L

14

Raúl Sánchez

6.2
H

Defenders

18

Pablo Santiago

6.3
M

5

Alberto Jiménez

6.2
L

3

Fabrizio Brignani

6.7
L

4

Agustín Sienra

6.7
H

Goalkeepers

13

Romain Matthys

6.3
L

Player Rotation Legend

L

Low

M

Medium

H

High

-

Unknown

  • Low: Regular starter with stable minutes
  • Medium: Plays regularly but role/minutes vary
  • High: Unpredictable role, often rotated or benched.

Odds Movement

All odds shown are the average odds from all bookmakers in our system.

Home

2.31

Draw

3.45

Away

2.83

2.19

Home

2.31

3.45

Draw

3.51

2.83

Away

2.93

Max

Home

2.31

Draw

3.51

Away

2.93

%

5%
2%
4%

Min

Home

2.19

Draw

3.45

Away

2.83

NOTE: Odds are updated every 3 hours.