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Home Favored
May 23, 2026, 10:05 PM
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Gremio hosts Atletico Torque in a crucial CONMEBOL Sudamericana group stage finale where progression hangs precariously in the balance. With both sides needing a result to secure their path forward, expect a tactical battle that could ignite into a high-stakes affair.
Home Motivation
Medium
Away Motivation
Medium
Market Picks
Portal Pulse
The Evidence
Betting Edge
Key Metrics
Home
Metric
Away
0.08
xG difference
All comps (EWMA)
0.20
Atletico Torque holds a better xG difference (0.20 vs 0.08) on a recent-form basis, indicating a more dominant underlying performance in creating and conceding chances than Gremio.
1.27
Goals scored per game
All comps (EWMA)
1.64
Atletico Torque's recent-form average of 1.64 goals scored per game is significantly higher than Gremio's 1.27, suggesting they possess more potent attacking threat.
0.61
Goals conceded per game
All comps (EWMA)
1.01
Gremio has a considerably stronger defensive record in recent form, conceding 0.61 goals per game compared to Atletico Torque's 1.01.
3.93
Shots on target per game
All comps (EWMA)
3.18
Gremio averages 3.93 shots on target per game on a recent-form basis, outperforming Atletico Torque's 3.18, indicating greater accuracy in hitting the target.
3.56
Corners won per game
All comps (EWMA)
5.23
Atletico Torque dominates in recent-form corner count, averaging 5.23 corners won per game compared to Gremio's 3.56, suggesting they can create more set-piece opportunities.
84%
Pass accuracy %
All comps (EWMA)
69%
Gremio's superior passing game, with 84% accuracy in recent form versus Atletico Torque's 69%, highlights their ability to retain possession and build attacks more effectively.
Form & Streaks
Gremio has won 7 of their last 10 matches at home in all competitions.
Atletico Torque are unbeaten in their last 5 away matches across all competitions.
Gremio has only scored 5 goals in their last 4 home wins, averaging just over a goal per game in those victories.
Atletico Torque have a 50% BTTS rate in their last 10 away matches across all competitions.
Tactical Overview
Gremio enters this must-win fixture on home soil, buoyed by a strong recent home record that includes three wins in their last four matches, conceding only one goal in that span. Their most recent outing, a 2-0 win against Palestino in this competition, showcased defensive solidity. Atletico Torque, however, are no pushovers, leading the group based on the prior phase's standings and boasting an impressive away form that has seen them go unbeaten in their last three away games across all competitions. They recently secured a 2-1 away victory against Progreso. Despite Atletico Torque winning the most recent H2H encounter 1-0, Gremio's superior Elo rating and a more robust passing game, evidenced by their 84% pass accuracy compared to Atletico Torque's 69%, suggests they can control possession and dictate tempo at home. Gremio's ability to keep clean sheets, with 70% in their last 10 home matches in all competitions, will be key against an Atletico Torque side that scores consistently but also concedes frequently on the road.
Match Context
Lineup Updates
Based on reports
Key Players
For Gremio, forward Gabriel Mec and attacker Francis Amuzu are expected to be key in breaking down the opposition's defense, while defender Gustavo Martins will be crucial in organizing the backline. Cristian Pavón recently ended a long goal drought, indicating he could be a significant attacking presence in this match.
Absences
Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.
Home
Key Players
For Gremio, forward Gabriel Mec and attacker Francis Amuzu are expected to be key in breaking down the opposition's defense, while defender Gustavo Martins will be crucial in organizing the backline. Cristian Pavón recently ended a long goal drought, indicating he could be a significant attacking presence in this match.
Absences
Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.
Away
Key Players
Atletico Torque will likely rely on goalkeeper Franco Torgnascioli to maintain a solid presence between the posts. In defense, Franco Romero and Facundo Silvera will be vital in stifling Gremio's attack. Midfielder Gonzalo Montes will be important in controlling the tempo and distributing the ball. Upfront, Salomón Rodríguez will be looked upon to provide offensive thrust.
Absences
Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.
Lineup info is never 100% confirmed until matchday. Additional players may be unavailable.
Insider Intel